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CBOE SKEW INDEX (^SKEW)

Chicago Options
147.28 USD +1.56 (1.071%) ⇧ (July 17, 2026, 5 p.m. EDT)
Hot Take | July 17, 2026, 8:51 p.m. EDT

The CBOE SKEW Index is flashing a critical 'risk premium' signal as it surges above its 50-day average and trades near its 52-week highs, indicating that despite easing crash fears, market participants are aggressively pricing in tail risk due to tariff uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. The recent volatility spike, evidenced by the index climbing from 144.46 to 154.82 before settling at 147.28, confirms that hedging demand remains robust; investors are willing to pay a premium for protection even as equity optimism persists, creating a divergent environment where the underlying market feels safe but the fear gauge suggests fragility.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.024614
AutoETS0.032106
MSTL0.032684
AutoTheta0.033003

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 2.30
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.479
Excess Kurtosis 0.44

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -4.8763156
All Time High 183.12
All Time Low 101.23
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 0
Average Daily Volume10 Day 0
Average Daily Volume3 Month 0
Average Volume 0
Average Volume10Days 0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 0
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 0.0
Day Low 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange WCB
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 142.748
Fifty Day Average Change 4.5319977
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03174824
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -4.8763156
Fifty Two Week High 161.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.580002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.090077855
Fifty Two Week Low 0.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 147.28
Fifty Two Week Range 0.0 - 161.86
First Trade Date Milliseconds 631,290,600,000
Full Exchange Name Chicago Options
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 0
Language en-US
Long Name CBOE SKEW INDEX
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_INDEXSKEW
Open 0.0
Previous Close 145.72
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type INDEX
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.5599976
Regular Market Change Percent 1.0705446
Regular Market Day High 0.0
Regular Market Day Low 0.0
Regular Market Day Range 0.0 - 0.0
Regular Market Open 0.0
Regular Market Previous Close 145.72
Regular Market Price 147.28
Regular Market Time 1,784,322,046
Regular Market Volume 0
Short Name CBOE SKEW INDEX
Source Interval 15
Symbol ^SKEW
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 145.0655
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2144928
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.015265468
Type Disp Index
Volume 0